Tag: global trends from the C.I.A.

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July 4th. State of America.

 

Britain’s American colonies broke with the mother country in 1776 and were recognized as the new nation of the United States of America following the Treaty of Paris in 1783. During the 19th and 20th centuries, 37 new states were added to the original 13 as the nation expanded across the North American continent and acquired a number of overseas possessions. The two most traumatic experiences in the nation’s history were the Civil War (1861-65), in which a northern Union of states defeated a secessionist Confederacy of 11 southern slave states, and the Great Depression of the 1930s, an economic downturn during which about a quarter of the labor force lost its jobs. Buoyed by victories in World Wars I and II and the end of the Cold War in 1991, the US remains the world’s most powerful nation state. Since the end of World War II, the economy has achieved relatively steady growth, low unemployment and inflation, and rapid advances in technology. Until now.

America is now the world’s largest consumer of cocaine, Colombian heroin, Mexican heroin and marijuana. We are the major consumer of ecstasy and Mexican methamphetamine; minor consumer of high-quality Southeast Asian heroin and are illicit producers of cannabis, marijuana, depressants, stimulants, hallucinogens, and methamphetamine; money-laundering center in the world. Ask Ron Weinland about that.

What’s is store for America and the World?

From “Global Trends”a C.I.A publication we read: (all quotes from this publication are in green)
The world of 2030 will be radically
transformed from our world today.
By 2030, no country—whether the
US, China, or any other large country—will
be a hegemonic power. The empowerment
of individuals and diffusion of power among
states and from states to informal networks will
have a dramatic impact, largely reversing the
historic rise of the West since 1750, restoring
Asia’s weight in the global economy, and
ushering in a new era of “democratization”
at the international and domestic level.
The role of the USA:
How the United States’ international role evolves
during the next 15-20 years—a big uncertainty—and
whether the US will be able to work with new partners
to reinvent the international system will be among
the most important variables in the future shape of
the global order. Although the United States’ (and the
West’s) relative decline vis-a-vis the rising states is
inevitable, its future role in the international system
is much harder to project: the degree to which the US
continues to dominate the international system could
vary widely.
The US most likely will remain “first among equals”
among the other great powers in 2030 because of
its preeminence across a range of power dimensions
and legacies of its leadership role. More important
than just its economic weight, the United States’
dominant role in international politics has derived
from its preponderance across the board in both hard
and soft power. Nevertheless, with the rapid rise of
other countries, the “unipolar moment” is over and
Pax Americana—the era of American ascendancy
in international politics that began in 1945—is fast
winding down.
So the days of a dominant United States is arriving at the end game. Predictable on a historic level, as all great powers decline. How this decline will be managed is unknown. Will a revolt in the USA spark a revolution and lead to tyrannical government in a attempt to control the populace and maintain its power? Who knows. The Armstrongist don’t know. They are wrong on everything.
Of course not is all doom and gloom. The boom in gas and oil production is predicted to end the U.S  reliance of foreign oil and produce perhaps millions of good paying jobs.
But if this event does not materialize, we read:
The US impact is much more clear-cut in the negative
case in which the US fails to rebound and is in sharp
economic decline. In that scenario, a large and
dangerous global power vacuum would be created and
in a relatively short space of time. With a weak US, the
potential would increase for the European economy to
unravel. The European Union might remain, but as an
empty shell around a fragmented continent.
What will the ACOG’s do? America’s decline means the Germans ain’t coming with their meat-hooks in hand!

FEW COMPETING VISIONS OF A NEW INTERNATIONAL ORDER—FOR THE MOMENT:

The replacement of the United States by another global power and erection of a new international order seems the least likely outcome in this time period. No other power would be likely to achieve the same panoplyof power in this time frame under any plausible scenario. The emerging powers are eager to take their places at the top table of key multilateral institutions such as UN, IMF, and World Bank, but they do not espouse any competing vision. Although ambivalent and even resentful of the US-led international order,they have benefited from it and are more interested in continuing their economic development and political consolidation than contesting US leadership.In addition, the emerging powers are not a bloc:they don’t have any unitary alternative vision. Their perspectives—even China’s—are more keyed to shaping regional structures. A collapse or sudden retreat of US power would most likely result in an extended period of global anarchy where there would be no stable international system and no leading power to replace the US. When we have discussed decreasing US power abroad, many scholars and analysts have tended to assume even greater levels of chaos and disorder would ensue than many US experts.

Marx Update for the 21st Century:
I’m not sure that the US is yet ripe for revolution. It’s done too well from shale gas. The working class there got lulled by the increased manufacturing possibilities as businesses moved back from Asia when US domestic energy prices dropped. But it could be just a matter of time. Entitlement reform in the 2010s didn’t happen because US growth picked up. US debt has continued to climb: it is only a matter of time before entitlements will be back
on the political agenda. The onset of a global downturn with all the turmoil in Europe and elsewhere is beginning to stir up class tensions. The US thinks it is immune, but we’ll see. Unfortunately, opposition activists in America no longer read Marx.
Further down in the article we read:
We’ve seen growing class divisions elsewhere, pointing to a potential global revolution.
Now that’s a “Shit Hits The Fan” Moment!
Societal breakdowns occur when people lose everything. The rich get richer and the middle class is in decline. When the bottom drops out on the currency and money becomes worthless what to do? When the transporting of food is too expensive and fuel is not available or is extremely expensive, shit hits the fan because of resource scarcity. I wouldn’t want to be in a big city when all hell breaks loose. Rambo I ain’t!
Now days there is a new rule. Its called “bail-ins”. When banks need an infusion of cash, there’s no need for the central bank to step in. Confiscate the depositors money and call them “investors”.  Yes, that’s right, you are now an investor not a depositor! Feel empowered?  Well you shouldn’t! You should know that you may land up here in America being fucked big time!  Remember Cyprus!  And those who follow the new scam to rip you off!
Japan’s Financial Services Agency will enact new rules that will forced failed bank losses on investors, if needed, via a mechanism known as a “bail-in,” according to The Nikkei. Mitsubishi UFJ (MTU), Mizuho Financial (MFG) and Sumitomo Mitsui (SMFG) are among those proposing amendments to allow them to issue the types of preferred shares or subordinated bonds that would be used in such cases, the report noted.
So here on July 4th, a holiday celebrating your freedoms and rights, perhaps you should consider what you status as a free citizen really is. Or do you really care? The master slave relationship (Owner/property relationships) is alive and well.
Are you the slave or the master of your own destiny?
Or maybe I should ask, how many of your freedoms have been lost this year?